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Title
A Concept of a Probabilistic Decision Model for Maximum Size Ship Entry to a Port

ISSN printed: 1733-8670, ISSN on-line: 2392-0378
Gucma, Lucjan1
URI: https://repository.am.szczecin.pl/handle/123456789/989
2004-06-10
The paper presents a concept of probabilistic and risk-based decision support mod-el for large ships admittance to ports. Two main accident types are included into the model: accidents due to ships exceeding horizontal boundaries of manoeuvring area and accidents due to ship hitting the bottom because of failing to maintain the safe under-keel clearance.
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  2. Gucma L., The method of average navigation risk assessment with consider-ation of inequality of ship’s accident probability along the waterway, Risk Analysis II Bologna, Wit Press Southampton Boston, 2000; pp. 125-134.,
  3. Gucma L., Navigation risk assessment for vessels manoeuvring in various conditions, Risk Analysis III, WIT Press Computational Mechanics Publica-tions, Southampton-Boston 2002,,
  4. Sand, S.E., Nielsen, D.S., Jakobsen, V.B., Risk Analysis of Simulated Ship Approaches to Ports, Proc. of the Permanent International Association of Navigation Congresses. Seville 1994.,
  5. Savenije R.Ph., Probabilistic Admittance Policy, PIANC Bulletin No 91. Bruxelles 1996.,
  6. Savenije R.Ph., Probabilistic Admittance Policy, PIANC Bulletin No 91. Bruxelles 1996.,

Title

A Concept of a Probabilistic Decision Model for Maximum Size Ship Entry to a Port

Pages

133-143

Figures

7

Tables

0

ISSN printed

1733-8670

ISSN on-line

2392-0378

DOI

Type

Journal

02 Scientific Journals of the Maritime University of Szczecin, no. 2 / 2004

Publisher

Scientific Journals Maritime University of Szczecin, Zeszyty Naukowe Akademia Morska w Szczecinie

Copyright Holder

Scientific Journals Maritime University of Szczecin, Zeszyty Naukowe Akademia Morska w Szczecinie

Published

2004-06-10

Recieved

2004-04-13

Accepted

2004-05-09

Funding

No data

Keywords

maximum ship admittance, maximum ship admittance, decision support model, ship manoeuvring safety

URI:

https://repository.am.szczecin.pl/handle/123456789/989

Authors

Gucma, Lucjan1

Affiliation

1 Akademia Morska w Szczecinie Instytut Inżynierii Ruchu Morskiego ul. Wały Chrobrego 1-2, 70-500 Szczecin, lucek@am.szczecin.pl

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