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Title
Using the Monte Carlo method to create probability maps for search and rescue operations at sea

ISSN printed: 1733-8670, ISSN on-line: 2392-0378
Bugajski, Grzegorz1
URI: https://repository.am.szczecin.pl/handle/123456789/2351
2016-12-28
In this article we proposed a probability map that allows for location of the position of survivors. We used a probability model of a survivor drift to create the map. The model is based on the provisions of IAMSAR containing factors like leeway and wind current. Our proposal of utilizing a probability map diff ers from that shown in the IAMSAR by using other probabilistic methods. We performed analysis of a drifting raft using the Monte Carlo method. The map is closer to reality, since it is asymmetrical and generated by the simulation. However, preparing probability maps might be helpful in SAR action planning.
  1. Allen, A.A. (2005) Leeway Divergence. Final Report. U.S. Coast Guard Research and Development Center.,
  2. IMO (2013) IAMSAR manual. Vol. II. London: IMO.,
  3. Kasyk, L. & Pleskacz, K. (2015) An Adaptation of an Algorithm of Search and Rescue Operations to ship Manoeuvrability. TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation 9 (2). pp. 265–268.,
  4. Turner, C., Lewandowski, S., Lester, D., Mack, E., Howlett, M., Spaulding, E. & Comerma, M. (2007) Evaluation of Environmental Information Products for Search and Rescue Optimal Planning System (SAROPS).,
  5. Wikipedia (2016) [Online] Available from: https://upload. wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e0/Compass- Rose16A.svg/550px-CompassRose16A.svg.png [Accessed,

Title

Using the Monte Carlo method to create probability maps for search and rescue operations at sea

Pages

71-74

Figures

6

Tables

0

ISSN printed

1733-8670

ISSN on-line

2392-0378

DOI

10.17402/178

Type

Original scientific article

Journal

48 Scientific Journals of the Maritime University of Szczecin, no. 48 / 2016

Publisher

Scientific Journals Maritime University of Szczecin, Zeszyty Naukowe Akademia Morska w Szczecinie

Copyright Holder

Scientific Journals Maritime University of Szczecin, Zeszyty Naukowe Akademia Morska w Szczecinie

Published

2016-12-28

Recieved

2016-04-29

Accepted

2016-09-18

Funding

No data

Keywords

Monte Carlo, probability map, rescue operation, shipwrecked, probability distribution, probability model

URI:

https://repository.am.szczecin.pl/handle/123456789/2351

Language

English

Authors

Bugajski, Grzegorz1

Affiliation

1 Maritime University of Szczecin 1–2 Wały Chrobrego St., 70-500 Szczecin, Poland, g.bugajski@am.szczecin.pl

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