Majda, Jurić; Čedomir, Dundović; Tina, Perić; Gorana, Jelić Mrčelić
(Scientific Journals Maritime University of Szczecin, Zeszyty Naukowe Akademia Morska w Szczecinie,
)
shore terminal, or Floating Storage Regasification Unit – FSRU) was presented based on holistic evaluation of
the impacts of potential LNG terminal. The first step was to divide the entire observed area of the Adriatic Sea
of the Republic of Croatia into smaller areas by using the Geographic Information System (GIS), and to select
areas where installation of LNG terminal is technically feasible based on the pre-elimination criteria. Potential
LNG terminal areas were selected taking into account all pre-elimination criteria and 14 areas were selected
by using pre-elimination criteria in GIS smart charts tool that enables analyses of spatial data. The second
step was based on elimination criteria analyses of 14 areas selected in the first step by pre-elimination criteria
analyses. Six potential LNG terminal micro-locations were singled out based on defined elimination criteria.
The third step included experts’ evaluation of 38 specific sub-criteria classified into five distinctive groups of
sub-criteria: economic group (11 sub-criteria), ecological group (13 sub-criteria), safety group (4 sub-criteria),
traffic connection group (6 sub-criteria) and gas needs (4 sub-criteria) for six areas singled out in previous step.
The fourth step was to make multi-criterial expert analysis of the six locations selected in the previous step (for
onshore terminals, offshore terminals and FSRU) for three different scenarios analysis by the PROMETHEE
(Preference Ranking Organization Method of Enrichment Evaluation) method. In every scenario, one group
of sub-criteria was selected as the most important according to its cumulative relationship with other groups
of criteria (scenario 1 – economic group of the criteria, scenario 2 – ecological group of the criteria, scenario 3
– safety) and different importance was given to every of the sub-criteria (the sub-criteria weight). The methodology
presented in this paper can also be used in decision making process for other marine and coastal activities
where incorporating an ecosystem approach is an important issue taking into account safety and project costs,
but the selection of pre-elimination criteria, elimination criteria and the sub-criteria should be carefully adjusted
to the other situation or activities.